Sunday, December 14, 2008

cost modeling of a firm

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Here we have assumed that both, HUL and ITC, are using the same technology1. The price of the goods-basket has been normalized to unity for HUL in the year 1996. The average total cost curve for the industry has been fitted using the following specification, which allows for a learning model of capacity expansion and utilization;

Equation Set 2.1 starts here

ATC(Q_t)=%beta %alpha {Q^e_t}^{2} - 2 %alpha Q^e_t Q_t+ %alpha Q_t^2

; where %alpha geslant 0, %beta > 1 

%DELTA lnQ^e_t = %lambda_0 +%lambda_1 %DELTA lnQ^e_{t-1}+%mu %DELTA lnQ_{t-1}+ ε_t ; where 0< %lambda_1 < 1, ε_t sim N(0,%sigma^2)

Equation set 2.1 ends here

Where;

ATC(Q_t) = {Total cost at time 't'} over { Q_t}


Q= quantity of good basket produced2

MLE obtained from constrained3 LLF maximization were used to fit the data on HUL and ITC. From the estimators we obtained the maximum capacity corresponding to the minimum average cost for a firm in the industry. From the above we constructed a time-series for capacity utilizations for the two companies, HUL and ITC.

1Equation set: 2.1 has been estimated for data on HUL and ITC using identical set of parameters.

2Calculated as variable cost deflated by prevalent CPI.

3As constrained by parameters.


1 comment:

recon.lallu said...

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